Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.002500 0.002663 0.002838 0.003039 0.003267 0.003519 0.003821
2024-11-03 0.002146 0.002349 0.002578 0.002857 0.003194 0.003594 0.004115
2024-11-10 0.002005 0.002245 0.002526 0.002887 0.003350 0.003940 0.004781
2024-11-17 0.001908 0.002176 0.002502 0.002938 0.003528 0.004332 0.005590
2024-11-24 0.001800 0.002080 0.002430 0.002914 0.003596 0.004581 0.006250
2024-12-01 0.001741 0.002039 0.002420 0.002966 0.003770 0.005006 0.007313
2024-12-08 0.001668 0.001973 0.002371 0.002955 0.003847 0.005291 0.008228
2024-12-15 0.001592 0.001897 0.002300 0.002904 0.003854 0.005456 0.008970
2024-12-22 0.001562 0.001880 0.002309 0.002968 0.004047 0.005985 0.010767
2024-12-29 0.001529 0.001857 0.002306 0.003014 0.004215 0.006507 0.012917
2025-01-05 0.001473 0.001797 0.002247 0.002966 0.004213 0.006684 0.014216
2025-01-12 0.001407 0.001722 0.002160 0.002867 0.004108 0.006623 0.014694
2025-01-19 0.001368 0.001684 0.002130 0.002861 0.004184 0.007004 0.017318
2025-01-26 0.001287 0.001585 0.002005 0.002694 0.003941 0.006601 0.016348
2025-02-02 0.001263 0.001565 0.001998 0.002721 0.004072 0.007128 0.020399
2025-02-09 0.001246 0.001554 0.002001 0.002766 0.004245 0.007827 0.027363
2025-02-16 0.001213 0.001520 0.001968 0.002744 0.004278 0.008164 0.033339
2025-02-23 0.001199 0.001511 0.001974 0.002791 0.004463 0.009024 0.051039
2025-03-02 0.001173 0.001484 0.001949 0.002781 0.004523 0.009522 0.072566
2025-03-09 0.001140 0.001447 0.001907 0.002735 0.004496 0.009714 0.094232
2025-03-16 0.001132 0.001444 0.001919 0.002793 0.004717 0.010945 0.322134
2025-03-23 0.001120 0.001436 0.001923 0.002834 0.004908 0.012215 NaN
2025-03-30 0.001093 0.001404 0.001885 0.002790 0.004878 0.012488 NaN